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The plan
http://www.slate.com/id/2198856/
As one McCain aide put it: "We either get Hillary's voters and we win, or we don't. It's not a mystery." . . . [read on]
How’s that working for ya?
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/8/30/144854/735
[USAT] There is also wide uncertainty about whether [Palin is] qualified to be president. In the poll, taken Friday, 39% say she is ready to serve as president if needed, 33% say she isn't and 29% have no opinion.
That's the lowest vote of confidence in a running mate since the elder George Bush chose then-Indiana senator Dan Quayle to join his ticket in 1988. . . .
Among Democratic women — including those who may be disappointed that New York Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton did not win the Democratic nomination — 9% say Palin makes them more likely to support McCain, 15% less likely.
http://www.editorandpublisher.com/eandp/news/article_display.jsp?vnu_content_id=1003844485
From Rasmussen: Some 38% of men said they were more likely to vote for McCain now, but only 32% of women. By a narrow 41% to 35% margin, men said she was not ready to be president -- but women soundly rejected her, 48% to 25%.
Only 9% of Obama supporters said they might be more likely to vote for McCain. . . .
And by a 29/44 margin, men and women together, they do not believe that she is ready to be President.
http://politicalwire.com/archives/2008/08/30/worst_pick_ever.html
[Del Ali, the president of Research 2000] Sarah Palin will wow cultural conservatives in areas where they may not have come out to vote before the selection. This is right out of Karl Rove's strategy of getting more of your own to show up and vote. . . .
In fact, as Palin's cultural views become better known -- she oppose abortion in all cases and opposes the use of birth control pills and condoms even among married couples -- she will undoubtedly scare the hell out of the soccer moms and 98% of Hillary voters. In fact, many of these women may feel insulted by this choice in that McCain and the GOP think they are stupid and would bypass their own interest (reproductive and economic) to vote for the ticket due to gender and anger that Hillary was not the nominee.
In my estimation as a pollster and analyst, while historic for the GOP in selecting their first woman on a national ticket, this choice may be the worst selection by a major party nominee for President in modern times.
More assessments of her qualifications
Presidential scholars: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0808/13001.html
Presidential scholars say she appears to be the least experienced, least credentialed person to join a major-party ticket in the modern era. . . .
The people who know her best: http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/8/30/1296/05455
[Fairbanks] She has never publicly demonstrated the kind of interest, much less expertise, in federal issues and foreign affairs that should mark a candidate for the second-highest office in the land. . . . Most people would acknowledge that, regardless of her charm and good intentions, Palin is not ready for the top job.
[Anchorage] "She's not prepared to be governor. How can she be prepared to be vice president or president? said [State Senate President Lyda Green, a Republican from Palin's hometown of Wasilla]. "Look at what she's done to this state. What would she do to the nation?"
Dermot Cole, a longtime columnist for Alaska's second largest newspaper, the Fairbanks Daily News-Miner, called McCain's choice of Palin "reckless" and questioned her credentials. "Sarah Palin's chief qualification for being elected governor was that she was not Frank Murkowski," Cole said of her enormously unpopular predecessor, who lost favor with Alaskans in part because of unpopular budget cuts. "She was not elected because she was a conservative. She was not elected because of her grasp of issues or because of her track record as the mayor of Wasilla."
More: http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2008_08/014477.php
Mike Doogan, a former columnist now serving as a Democrat in the state legislature: "John McCain looked all over the United States to find the single Republican who is qualified to be, as the saying goes, a heartbeat away from the presidency, and he came up with Sarah Palin. Really? ... [L]et's be honest here. Her resume is as thin as the meat in a vending machine sandwich.... The long and short of it is this: We're not sure she's a competent governor of Alaska. And yet McCain, who is no spring chicken, has decided she's the best choice to replace him as president if he should win and then fall afoul of the Grim Reaper. Sarah Palin? Really?"
The Anchorage Daily News' Gregg Erickson: "[Palin] tends to oversimplify complex issues, has had difficulty delegating authority, and clearly has some difficulty distinguishing the line between her public responsibilities and private wishes.... It is clear that she has not paid much attention to the nitty-gritty unglamorous work of government, of gaining consensus, and making difficult compromises. She seems to be of the view that politics should be all rather simple. That often appeals to the wider public, but frustrates those who see themselves as laboring in the less glamorous parts of the vineyard."
[Steve Benen] Erickson's description kind of makes Palin sound like George W. Bush, doesn't it?
From the Right: http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2008_08/014478.php
Charles Krauthammer: "The Palin selection completely undercuts the argument about Obama's inexperience and readiness to lead . . .”
Ramesh Ponnuru called it "tokenism," adding, "Can anyone say with a straight face that Palin would have gotten picked if she were a man?"
David Frum: "The longer I think about it, the less well this selection sits with me. And I increasingly doubt that it will prove good politics. The Palin choice looks cynical.... It's a wild gamble, undertaken by our oldest ever first-time candidate for president in hopes of changing the board of this election campaign. Maybe it will work. But maybe (and at least as likely) it will reinforce a theme that I'd be pounding home if I were the Obama campaign: that it's John McCain for all his white hair who represents the risky choice, while it is Barack Obama who offers cautious, steady, predictable governance.... If it were your decision, and you were putting your country first, would you put an untested small-town mayor a heartbeat away from the presidency?"
Kathryn Jean Lopez: "As much as I loathe Obama-Biden, I can't in good conscience vote for a McCain-Palin ticket. Palin has absolutely no experience in foreign affairs. Considering both McCain's advanced age and the state of the world today, it is essential that the veep be exceedingly qualified to assume the office of president. I simply don't have any confidence in Palin's ability to deal effectively with Iran, Russia, China, etc." [Update: Lopez was quoting an email, not expressing her actual views. My apologies.]
Mark Halperin: "On the face of it, McCain has failed the ultimate test that any presidential candidate must face in picking a running mate: selecting someone who is unambiguously qualified to be president."
Other newspaper editorials and pundits: http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/8/30/12216/4556
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/8/31/74321/7385
McCain’s decision-making
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/8/30/7368/15830
[LAT] Though John McCain clearly concluded that Palin could attract female voters and grab his campaign some Barack Obama-style media buzz, he also is taking a risk that in elevating a largely unknown figure, he undermines the central theme of his candidacy that he puts "country first," above political calculations. . . .
For a candidate known to possess a quick temper and an unpredictable political streak, the decision raises questions about how McCain would lead -- whether his decisions would flow from careful deliberations or gut checks in which short-term considerations or feelings outweigh the long view.
"Americans like risk-takers, but they also want to know that in times of crisis, you're going to be calm," said Matthew Dowd, who was a senior campaign strategist for President Bush but is neutral in the McCain-Obama race. . . .
http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2008_08/014480.php
[Steve Benen] A top "loyal Bushie" told the Politico's Mike Allen that McCain's decision is "disrespectful to the office of the presidency." That's actually a pretty good way of characterizing it. . . .
[Andrew Sullivan] "Palin isn't the issue here. McCain's judgment is. It's completely off the wall. Is there something wrong with him?"
That may sound like a flippant question, but it deserves a serious answer. Is there something wrong with him? Might this be evidence of some kind of impulse problem, as reflected in his shoot-first, think-second approach to foreign policy?
When I think about the respect that John McCain had worked so hard to develop, the stature he'd taken years to cultivate, and the reputation he'd built his career on, it's breathtaking to see him throw it all away. If there's a more complete collapse in modern political times, from hero to clown, I can't think of it.
We're poised to learn a great deal about Sarah Palin, but we've just learned even more about John McCain. He's fundamentally unsuited for the presidency.
http://yglesias.thinkprogress.org/archives/2008/08/killing_the_brand.php
[Matt Yglesias] What you see with the Palin pick, from a political strategy point of view, is I think the McCain campaign’s focus on winning the news cycle taken to a myopic and senseless extreme. The case for Palin in news cycle terms, is pretty good:
1. Crazy pick utterly stomps on the Democratic Convention as a news story.
2. Choosing a woman gives the tired PUMA story new legs.
3. Crazy pick confuses Democratic oppo research and gets into Obama OODA loop.
4. Palin is a hard-right conservative who the base loves so no dissonance.
Crazy pick fits “maverick” image. But when you think about points two and four more seriously, the pick doesn’t make sense. There really are self-identified Democrats who seem resistant to Barack Obama. But there’s very little evidence that their resistance is driven by their ovaries. It’s actually a disproportionately male group. Instead, Obama-skeptical Democrats are older, hawkish, and perhaps not buying Obama as an economic populist. Is going with a young, transparently underqualifed woman with orthodox economic views really such a great way to reach these people? In fact, it’s a terrible way. And the other three Palin virtues, from a news cycle POV, all depend on the fact that it would be crazy to pick Sarah Palin.
Which leaves you, basically, with the fact that this is a crazy pick. In particular, it goes against the image McCain is trying to paint of himself as the serious, sober-minded choice in difficult times. This is not a “country first” pick, it’s an “I have a personal beef with Mitt Romney” pick. Nor does a VP whose most noteworthy quality is that she’s less corrupt than other Alaska Republicans do anything to distance McCain from Bushism — we’ve now gone from one alleged maverick who agrees with Bush about everything to two alleged mavericks who agree with Bush about everything. And that’s all really the best case scenario — normally VP choices don’t make much of a difference politically, but a VP candidate with no experience dealing with the national media who the candidate himself has barely spoken to risks an Eagelton Scenario. Nobody’s going to care in two months about the good coverage on the morning of August 29, but they might care about some horrific gaffe or skeleton in the closet.
Most fundamentally, I think this pick violates the contemporary understanding of the role of the Vice Presidency. With the exception of the four Bush-Quayle years, ever since 1977 we’ve had a POTUS-VPOTUS team that features a charismatic outsider at the top of the ticket (Carter, Reagan, Clinton, Bush II) backed by a seasoned Washington hand (Mondale, Bush I, Gore, Cheney) with “charismatic outsiderishness” generally being an asset, but an asset whose value is enhanced by showing some humility and good sense by bringing a veteran on board. McCain is reaching back to an outdated model of casually made choices. It’s hardly a crippling blow to the campaign, as such, but over time it’s going to seem increasingly dissonant — it looks and feels wrong, not at all like what we’ve come to expect from a Vice President.
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0808/12997.html
6 things the Palin pick says about McCain . . . [read on]
“McCain’s sexist pick”
http://prospect.org/cs/articles?article=mccains_sexist_vp_pick
[Ann Friedman] John McCain's decision to pick Sarah Palin as his running mate is the perfect end to several weeks in which we saw Republicans make weak claims that theirs is the party of women's rights.
Last month, Bill Kristol was predicting that McCain would choose Palin because "Republicans are much more open to strong women." (He also decried the "horrible sexism and misogyny" Hillary Clinton faced in the Democratic primary, but somehow failed to mention his own comment during the primary that, "white women are a problem, that's, you know -- we all live with that.") As recently as last week he was railing against the "Democrats' glass ceiling." And today, FOX News was already crowing, "Looks like the glass ceiling hasn't been broken by Hillary Clinton, but by Senator McCain."
Palin's addition to the ticket takes Republican faux-feminism to a whole new level. As Adam Serwer pointed out on TAPPED, this is in fact a condescending move by the GOP. It plays to the assumption that disaffected Hillary Clinton supporters did not care about her politics -- only her gender. In picking Palin, Republicans are lending credence to the sexist assumption that women voters are too stupid to investigate or care about the issues, and merely want to vote for someone who looks like them. As Serwer noted, it's akin to choosing Alan Keyes in an attempt to compete with Obama for votes from black Americans. . . . [read on]
More: http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2008_08/014475.php
http://yglesias.thinkprogress.org/archives/2008/08/the_sexism_of_the_palin_pick.php
Palin’s Buchananite background, and the Jewish vote
http://www.mydd.com/story/2008/8/29/231114/892
Buchanan and women: http://www.americablog.com/2008/08/palins-buddy-pat-buchanan-on-women.html
Badly vetted
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/211777.php
http://hatthief.blogspot.com/2008/08/vetting-sarah-palin-irl-stambaugh-walt.html
How a college sophomore helped make Palin VP
http://www.slate.com/id/2198949/
Some contrary views. Will attacks against Palin backfire? Will she benefit from the tyranny of low expectations?
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/211597.php
http://politicalwire.com/archives/2008/08/30/smart_tactical_pick.html
http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=YjAzMTY0NmQ2NDBkYWNjMDE0NmQ4NDdmOTc2YWU0YzQ
http://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2008/08/cynical.html
The popular press gives her a pass (so far)
http://digbysblog.blogspot.com/2008/08/maverick-mom-by-digby-im-back-now.html
[Digby] * CBS' Schieffer asserted Palin was "against earmarks" and "bridge to nowhere" without noting her earmark requests, previous reported support for bridge
* AP falsely suggests Palin supports benefits for same-sex partners of state employees
* Media affix "maverick" label to Palin as well
* Fox News host set up false contrast between Palin and Biden, both of whom have sons going to Iraq
* Fox News graphic falsely claimed "Obama campaign disse[d] Palin for small town origins"
* With morning announcement of Palin pick comes morning sexism on cable news
* Mitchell falsely claimed McCain has not set a "threshold" for his VP to be "ready to step in on a moment's notice"
* Forbes.com claimed Palin "oppos[es]" earmarks -- but her administration said it requested them this year
* WSJ reported that Palin "highlighted her opposition" to "that bridge to nowhere" -- but not her previous reported support for it
Other news stories: http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/8/30/17746/1987
Surprise? First Two National Polls Find Palin Gains LESS Support from Women
McCain hits campaign trail with risky VP pick
John McCain met running mate Sarah Palin just once
Pure genius or John McCain’s mad gamble? Sarah Palin choice stuns US
Palin on Ron Paul: "Right On!'
Sarah Palin: McCain's Insult to Women
Sarah Palin: Is she ready to lead?
My Palin prediction: She'll blow foreign policy
McCain's VP pick helps fundraising, draws scorn
Sarah Palin, Wrong Woman for the Job
Local Expert Weighs in on McCain's VP Choice
Roe and Griswold: according to the GOP platform, contraception is murder
http://www.americablog.com/2008/08/we-know-mccain-palin-and-gop-will.html
[Joe Sudbay] Here's are a couple questions for any reporter who has access to the GOP ticket: Do John McCain and Sarah Palin want to reverse Griswold v. Connecticut? Do John McCain and Sarah Palin want to prohibit any forms of contraception? Do John McCain and Sarah Palin think "the pill" is a abortificant?
The kind of people they are
http://www.swamppolitics.com/news/politics/blog/2008/08/rnc_mulls_limbaugh_abortion_ja.html
Conservative radio commentator Rush Limbaugh boosted Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin's pro-life position and mocked Barack Obama on his radio show yesterday with a make-believe riff in which Obama asked Palin "When you found out your baby would be born with Down syndrome, did you consider killing it before or after the due date?"
Limbaugh's "humor" caught the fancy of the Republican National Committee, which, in an internal e-mail, proposed using the bit in a YouTube clip.
The e-mail, which was sent to RNC Communications Director Danny Diaz, and mistakenly to a Tribune reporter, was titled "wow...good YouTube potential..."
Two candidates who think it’s kinda funny to call your political opponent a “bitch”
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/8/30/81444/5625
More: http://tpmelectioncentral.talkingpointsmemo.com/2008/08/palin_took_heat_for_giggling_a.php
http://yglesias.thinkprogress.org/archives/2008/08/sarah_palin_feminist.php
[Matt Yglesias] All the women I know think it’s hilarious to express your political disagreements with female legislators by using the term “bitch” and mocking their physical appearance . . .
Don’t talk to me about experience. She ran for the PTA!
http://www.americablog.com/2008/08/mccain-impressed-by-palins-courageous.html
On personality and policy. Eventually, this race is going to get back to the question of governance. Let’s look at how Palin governed
http://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2008/08/sarah_palin_and_taxes.html
[Kevin Drum] So here's an interesting thing about Alaska governor Sarah Palin: she's a tax raiser. Last September she proposed a new state tax plan called ACES, and by November she had successfully pushed it through the Alaska legislature in a special session. ACES had two goals. First, it replaced a year-old plan called PPT that was mired in corruption and was widely distrusted. No problem there. Second, it was designed to increase revenue. PPT had raised revenues by $1 billion, but that was still less than everyone expected. So Palin's plan increased that by another $700 million.
But it gets even more interesting. ACES, of course, is a tax on the oil industry . . . [read on]
More: http://cliffschecter.firedoglake.com/2008/08/30/sarah-palin-bad-news-for-mccain-good-news-for-alaskas-gop/
Protestors rounded up in the Twin Cities in advance of the Republican convention
http://www.salon.com/opinion/greenwald/2008/08/30/police_raids/index.html
http://cliffschecter.firedoglake.com/2008/08/30/more-protesters-arrested-in-the-twin-cities/
http://firedoglake.com/2008/08/30/inside-an-rnc-raid/
http://rncprotests.notlong.com
http://firedoglake.com/2008/08/30/rnc-stasi-sweeps-a-bob-fletcher-special/
BREAKING NEWS: Cindy McCain is “offended” by attacks on her husband
http://blogs.abcnews.com/politicalradar/2008/08/cindy-mccain-te.html
What McCain will do with the CIA (thanks to Mark Kleiman for the link)
http://www.motherjones.com/washington_dispatch/2008/08/why-cia-veterans-are-scared-of-mccain.html
Trouble with the Iraq troop withdrawal agreement
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fg-iraq31-2008aug31,0,1340700.story
Fundamentally unserious
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/211591.php
Seven years after the Sept. 11 attacks, Mr. Bush's advisers assert that many Americans may have forgotten that. So they want Congress to say so and "acknowledge again and explicitly that this nation remains engaged in an armed conflict with Al Qaeda, the Taliban, and associated organizations, who have already proclaimed themselves at war with us and who are dedicated to the slaughter of Americans." . . .
Sunday talk show line-ups
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/08/30/AR2008083001996.html
FOX NEWS SUNDAY: Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.).
THIS WEEK (ABC): Sens. Lindsey O. Graham (R-S.C.) and John F. Kerry (D-Mass.) and Cindy McCain, wife of John McCain.
FACE THE NATION (CBS): Sen. Joseph I. Lieberman (I-Conn.); senior McCain campaign adviser Carly Fiorina and former New York mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani (R).
MEET THE PRESS (NBC): Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R) and presidential historian Doris Kearns Goodwin.
LATE EDITION (CNN): Sen. Christopher J. Dodd (D-Conn.); Boehner; Rep. Eric Cantor (R-Va.); Pawlenty; South Carolina Gov. Mark Sanford (R); Florida Gov. Charlie Crist (R); McCain campaign adviser Nancy Pfotenhauer; Obama adviser Anita Dunn; FEMA Administrator R. David Paulison; former GOP candidate Fred Thompson and ex-Senate majority leader Thomas A. Daschle.
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2008/8/29/141112/083
HE is an ex-POW turned multimillionaire. He has power, wealth, and more houses than most people have ties. But can anything -- or anyone -- calm his savage temper, and teach him to love again?
SHE's a young creationist who knows little about politics and is in trouble with the law. He'll take her in -- but can he teach her the ways of Washington before she embarrasses him at the big Telecom Ball?
Find out this fall on Dharma and Methuselah . . . [read on]
More: http://www.eschatonblog.com/2008_08_24_archive.html#7550028405876136717
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