Bush unveils his “Strategy for Victory” in Iraq – yet another stage in the p.r. battle that has little to do with changing our prospects in Iraq, and everything to do with trying to change perceptions at home
The plan: http://www.thewashingtonnote.com/archives/Iraq%20National%20Strategy%2011-30-05.pdf
The coverage:
http://www.nytimes.com/2005/11/30/international/30military.html
As President Bush lays out on Wednesday a more detailed strategy that he says will achieve victory in Iraq, administration officials are pressing yet another effort to prepare the Iraqis to secure their country with less reliance on American forces.
American military officials in Iraq said Tuesday that they had requested $3.9 billion for next year to help train and equip Iraqi troops, build new police stations and outfit Iraqi soldiers with new uniforms. . . . That amount would be part of a larger spending request to Congress for the overall war effort and is on top of the $10.6 billion that lawmakers have already approved to rebuild Iraq's security forces.
http://makeashorterlink.com/?N2EE25E3C
The administration is under pressure to convince increasingly skeptical Americans that the president's strategy for Iraq is headed in the right direction. . .
The p.r. spin:
http://americablog.blogspot.com/2005/11/victory-deconstructed.html
[Think Progress] After two-and-a-half years and 2,110 U.S. fatalities, the Bush administration finally released a “National Strategy for Victory in Iraq” (NSVI). The problem is, it’s not a new strategy for success in Iraq, it’s a public relations document. The strategy describes what has transpired in Iraq to date as a resounding success and stubbornly refuses to establish any standards for accountability. It dismisses serious problems such as the dramatic increase in bombings as “metrics that the terrorists and insurgents want the world to use.” Americans understand it’s time for a new course in Iraq. Unfortunately, this document is little more than an extended justification for a President “determined to stay his course.”
http://digbysblog.blogspot.com/2005_11_27_digbysblog_archive.html#113330292314260485
[WP] In shaping their message, White House officials have drawn on the work of Duke University political scientists Peter D. Feaver and Christopher F. Gelpi, who have examined public opinion on Iraq and previous conflicts. Feaver, who served on the staff of the National Security Council in the early years of the Clinton administration, joined the Bush NSC staff about a month ago as special adviser for strategic planning and institutional reform.
Feaver and Gelpi categorized people on the basis of two questions: "Was the decision to go to war in Iraq right or wrong?" and "Can the United States ultimately win?" In their analysis, the key issue now is how people feel about the prospect of winning. They concluded that many of the questions asked in public opinion polls -- such as whether going to war was worth it and whether casualties are at an unacceptable level -- are far less relevant now in gauging public tolerance or patience for the road ahead than the question of whether people believe the war is winnable.
"The most important single factor in determining public support for a war is the perception that the mission will succeed," Gelpi said in an interview yesterday.
http://www.prospect.org/weblog/archives/2005/11/index.html#008465
The new National Security Council report on Iraq is really the season's best beach foreign-policy read. Wildly optimistic, proudly Manichean, and fully bulletpointed, it's exactly the report you would've expected to read three years ago, which may explain why the word "terror" (or its variants) appears more than 100 times in the 35 page document, 10 times on the first page, and five times in the first five sentences. Think they're trying to tell us something?
More: http://thinkprogress.org/2005/11/30/deconstructing-iraq-strategy/
http://www.thewashingtonnote.com/archives/001124.html
The p.r. spin overseas:
http://atrios.blogspot.com/2005_11_27_atrios_archive.html#113332685676507986
[LAT] As part of an information offensive in Iraq, the U.S. military is secretly paying Iraqi newspapers to publish stories written by American troops in an effort to burnish the image of the U.S. mission in Iraq.
The articles, written by U.S. military "information operations" troops, are translated into Arabic and placed in Baghdad newspapers with the help of a defense contractor, according to U.S. military officials and documents obtained by the Los Angeles Times.
Many of the articles are presented in the Iraqi press as unbiased news accounts written and reported by independent journalists. . The stories trumpet the work of U.S. and Iraqi troops, denounce insurgents, and tout U.S.-led efforts to rebuild the country.
The jokes:
http://thinkprogress.org/2005/11/29/national-strategy/
[Judd] Shouldn’t we have had a “National Strategy for Victory in Iraq” before the war started?
http://www.prospect.org/weblog/archives/2005/11/index.html#008467
[WP] The new report says the U.S. strategy is working in Iraq, but victory will take time and many challenges remain. It also outlined how the United States defines victory in Iraq, why it is vital to U.S. interests, who the enemy is and how the strategy is being implemented.
[Ezra Klein] So the new strategy is that the old strategy is working. Finally, a plan for success.
http://billmon.org/archives/002346.html
[Billmon] A Strategy for Victory
• Use lots of bullet points
• Failure is not an option
• If it moves, bomb it
• Death squads
• Phased withdrawal
• Use more bullet points.
http://www.first-draft.com//modules.php?name=News&file=article&sid=4701
[Holden] I just don't see any plan here.
No "we will do x, y, and z." No milestones, benchmarks, or requirements. Just the same old fuzzy wishes without any details about how those wishes will be acheived.
And talk about repetitive -- 13,328 words that could easily be cut down to 100. Rumsfeld tried to ban the words "insurgent" and "insurgency" yesterday, but Chimpy's New and Improved Plan uses both 21 times. "Victory" pops up 27 times, but saying the word over and over again won't make it happen. Still, "Victory" can't hold a candle to "Build" or "Building" (57 appearances).
The New and Improved Plan adds two new words to the English language: "Rejectionists" (13 appearances) and "Saddamists" (8 appearances). Surprisingly, "stay" and "staying" appear just three times, and "course" appears just once (in a Condi quote). "Troops" appears only twice, "Torture" not at all.
http://tbogg.blogspot.com/2005/11/groundhog-day-someone-take-wheel.html
“Groundhog Day” [just go read it all]
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2005/11/30/85433/808
On May 2, 2003, President George W. Bush was flown onto an aircraft carrier which was moved further out to sea to make for better pictures and said: “[M]y fellow Americans, major combat operations in Iraq have ended. . .” [read on!]
Scotty reappears!
http://www.first-draft.com//modules.php?name=News&file=article&sid=4691
Q Are we going to be shocked by anything in it? I mean, the President has outlined the strategy before, right?
MR. McCLELLAN: What's that?
Q Are we going -
MR. McCLELLAN: I think one purpose of providing this document is so that the American people can have a clear sense of our strategy for success in Iraq, and so that they can see how we look at the enemy, the nature of the enemy that we're facing and they can see how we define success in Iraq and how we are going about achieving victory in Iraq. And that's an important thing for the American people to be able to look at and understand.
[Holden] I'll take that as a "no".
The point: as far as I can tell, this document serves little purpose now, except as something that can be pointed back to in a few months as laying out the criteria which, at that time, will be proclaimed as the evidence of success that justifies a significant troop withdrawal. People seem surprised that Bush didn’t announce that now: I think the point is to set the basis for him to do so later (I’ve been predicting, in his January State of the Union address)
http://americablog.blogspot.com/2005/11/victory-plan-is-out.html
[Reuters] Lack of a troop withdrawal timetable does not mean the U.S. stance will remain static, the White House said. "We expect, but cannot guarantee, that our force posture will change over the next year, as the political process advances and Iraqi security forces grow and gain experience," the document said.
Two who agree with me: http://www.slate.com/id/2131125/
http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2005_11/007661.php
Two who disagree with me: http://atrios.blogspot.com/2005_11_27_atrios_archive.html#113336505366080260
http://www.prospect.org/weblog/archives/2005/11/index.html#008466
I almost led with this story today. It is a stunner
http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2005_11/007663.php
Dana Milbank of the Washington Post reports on a recent exchange between Donald Rumsfeld and General Peter Pace, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. The subject was torture:
When UPI's Pam Hess asked about torture by Iraqi authorities, Rumsfeld replied that "obviously, the United States does not have a responsibility" other than to voice disapproval.
But Pace had a different view. "It is the absolute responsibility of every U.S. service member, if they see inhumane treatment being conducted, to intervene, to stop it," the general said.
Rumsfeld interjected: "I don't think you mean they have an obligation to physically stop it; it's to report it."
But Pace meant what he said. "If they are physically present when inhumane treatment is taking place, sir, they have an obligation to try to stop it," he said, firmly.
[Kevin Drum] This is why Abu Ghraib happened: because of people like Rumsfeld, who insisted on cutting corners, using clever circumlocutions in place of plain language, and refusing to take a firm stand on doing the right thing. Pace is having none of it, and good for him. . . The military may not always live up to its ideals, but at least they insist on having some. Rumsfeld should have been fired long ago for not understanding this.
More: http://www.tpmcafe.com/story/2005/11/30/11448/218
The Rumsfeld manure spreader shifts into overdrive: the Iraqi troops are making amazing progress (again!)
http://atrios.blogspot.com/2005_11_27_atrios_archive.html#113332865706296658
Rumsfeld said this today:
Consider the progress of the Iraqi security forces over the past year. In August 2004, five Iraqi army battalions were effectively in the fight. Today the number is 95. . . In July 2004, there were no ready operational Iraqi army divisions or brigade headquarters. Today there are at least seven operational divisions and 31 operational brigade headquarters. . . In July of 2004 there were no ready special police commando, public order or mechanized police battalions under the Ministry of Interior. Today there are 28 such battalions conducting operations. . . And last year there were about 96,000 fully trained and equipped Iraqi security forces. And today there are over 212,000 trained and equipped security forces.
Strange, really. In October 2003 Big Don said:
In less than six months, we've gone from zero Iraqis providing security to their country -- you don't have that chart, there it is -- to close to 100,000 Iraqis currently under arms. . . Indeed, the progress has been so swift that Iraq is already the second largest of the security forces in the coalition. It will not be long before they will be the largest and outnumber the U.S. forces. And it shouldn't be too long thereafter that they will outnumber all coalition forces combined.
http://www.tpmcafe.com/story/2005/11/29/224215/45
More Rumspeak: http://www.first-draft.com//modules.php?name=News&file=article&sid=4693
This is our Commander in Chief
http://atrios.blogspot.com/2005_11_27_atrios_archive.html#113330406153191950
These are serious times in which we live, and it requires serious, experienced people to deal with the problems that we're confronted with. And the biggest problem we got is we're still at war. I wish I could report to you we weren't at war, but there's an enemy that still lurks that wants to do harm to the United States of America. And they want to do us harm because we stand squarely for freedom and democracy and we're not going to change. You see, they can't stand the fact -- (applause) -- they can't stand the fact that we allow people to worship freely, or to speak their mind in the public square, or to print articles the way they want to print them in America. They have a different view of the world. They've got this vision of darkness that stifles dissent and stifles the freedoms that many of us take for granted. . . You know, I just recently came off a trip to the Far East. . . And it struck me that I was in a region of the world where there -- where wars had started.
More Bushspeak: http://www.first-draft.com//modules.php?name=News&file=article&sid=4692
Q Is there going to be investigating the allegations that there are U.S.-run terrorist detention centers abroad? Don't the American people deserve an accounting of why these places exist and what's being done there?
THE PRESIDENT: The United States of America does not torture. And that's important for people around the world to understand.
Bubble Boy
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/blog/2005/11/29/BL2005112900634.html
[Dan Froomkin] What does it say about the president of the United States that he won't go anywhere near ordinary citizens any more? And that he'll only speak to captive audiences?
President Bush's safety zone these days doesn't appear to extend very far beyond military bases, other federal installations and Republican fundraisers.
Tomorrow, Bush gives a speech on the war on terror -- at the United States Naval Academy. Then he attends a reception for Republican party donors.
Today, he visits a U.S. Border Patrol office, then attends a Republican fundraising lunch.
Yesterday, he spoke at an Air Force base and a Republican fundraiser.
Before leaving the country on his recent trip to Asia, Bush made one last speech -- at an Air Force base in Alaska. A few days before that, he spoke at an Army depot in Pennsylvania. When he delivered a speech on Nov. 1 about bird flu, it was to an audience of National Institutes of Health employees.
The best chance ordinary citizens have had in ages to be anywhere near the president comes Thursday at 5 p.m., when the Bushes participate in the Pageant of Peace tree lighting ceremony on the Ellipse. But it won't exactly be a policy speech -- and anyway, tickets to that event were distributed three weeks ago.
When was the last time that Bush spoke in a forum open to citizens who are representative of the diverse array of views in the country? Certainly not since last October's presidential debates, and not often before then, either.
The White House advance team has long been sensitive to the potency of imagery in presidential events, going to great lengths to stage dramatic backdrops for Bush's appearances. In particular, they have used uniformed, on-duty military audiences many times before to underscore his case for war.
During last year's campaign, White House advance teams began screening audiences at Bush events to insure that only supporters were allowed in. After the election, that policy gave way to a new, "invitation only" approach, in which tickets to so-called public events were distributed largely by Republican and business groups. Now Bush is in phase three, where almost everyone he appears before is either on the federal payroll or a Republican donor.
I've written a lot about Bush's bubble before. In particular, I've wondered if Bush suffers from being so sheltered from dissent, and I've raised the question of whether taxpayers should be funding presidential events to which the public is never welcome.
Why is this happening? Is it related to the widespread public dissatisfaction with his policies, particularly in Iraq? Is Bush reluctant to appear before an audience that might not clap at his applause lines? Is he afraid of dissent? Are his aides shielding him against his will? Is it just a matter of stagecraft, to avoid any incident that might lure the media off message?
We don't know, of course, because no one has actually asked the White House to explain. . .
Hand-picked audiences who love to hear Bush speak
http://www.first-draft.com//modules.php?name=News&file=article&sid=4702

Larry Sabato offers Bush a five-point plan for recovering his failed Presidency, which I don’t mind reproducing as helpful advice (since there’s no chance Bush will do any of them)
http://politicalwire.com/archives/2005/11/29/a_plan_for_bushs_recovery.html
• Accept Reality on Iraq. . .
• Take Credit for the Economy. . .
• Retool. . .
• Re-staff. . .
• Admit One Big Error. . .
Bush’s plan to stack the federal bench
http://susiemadrak.com/2005/11/30/09/34/stacking-the-deck/
A little-noticed provision in the massive House budget bill would fulfill the longtime goal of conservatives to split the San Francisco-based U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit, creating a new 12th circuit appellate court and allowing President Bush to name a slate of new federal judges. . .
Where the leading Dems for 2008 stand on Iraq “exit strategies”
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2005/11/29/121322/46
More proof that Samuel Alito has it in for abortion rights
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/11/30/AR2005113000723.html
Shunned. The GOP just wants everyone to know that Randy Cunningham is a really bad guy that none of them ever had anything to do with, and whose personal corruption says nothing about how deep their party has had its snout in every source of graft available since the day they took power
http://www.nytimes.com/2005/11/30/national/30indict.html
Concerned that the stain of former Representative Randy Cunningham's admission that he took bribes and evaded taxes could damage the party's prospects, President Bush and other Republican leaders issued strong denunciations of Mr. Cunningham's actions on Tuesday.
With several investigations focusing on top Republican officials and growing public unease over the war in Iraq and economic policy at home, party leaders moved to distance themselves and their party from Mr. Cunningham's felony plea. . .
http://www.americanpolitics.com/20020806memoryhole.html
[August 2002] "There is an old adage," said House Majority Leader Richard K. Armey (R-Tex.). "To the victor goes the spoils."
“Nice tries”: http://digbysblog.blogspot.com/2005_11_27_digbysblog_archive.html#113330990853636452
Cunningham and the CIA: http://www.warandpiece.com/blogdirs/003168.html
Viveca Novak’s testimony helps Rove. Uh-huh, sure: (a) This report comes via his legal team. (b) She’s a personal friend of his chief lawyer
http://americablog.blogspot.com/2005/11/viveca-novaks-testimony-supposed-to.html
More: http://digbysblog.blogspot.com/2005_11_27_digbysblog_archive.html#113328983444375172
Whispers about Bob Woodward, Colin Powell, and Dick Cheney
http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/archives/individual/2005_11/007657.php
Bonus item: Al Franken
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2005/11/29/8059/9638
"You can't count on them to give you straight information. You can't count on them to tell us straight why we're going to war. You can't count on them to tell us what's happening over there.
You can't count on them to do their homework. To keep track of our money. You can't count on them to punish war profiteers. You can't count on them to protect our troops.
You can't rely on them for much of anything. Armor. Veterans' benefits. You can't count on them for the true story of how Jessica Lynch was captured, or how Pat Tillman died. Even for how the "Mission Accomplished" sign went up on the U.S.S. Abraham Lincoln. They actually lied about that.
You can't count on them to count terrorist attacks. You can't count on them to count civilian victims. You can't count on them to listen to military commanders and send in enough troops, or to not lie about the commanders asking them to send more troops, or to listen to Colin Powell and not torture people, or to not lie about whether the torture policies started at the top.
You can't trust them to care. About Iraqis. About Americans.
You can't trust them to do the work of actually signing killed-in-action letters. You can't trust them not to lie about not signing killed-in-action letters.
You can't count on them to acknowledge any mistakes whatsoever. You can't trust them not to lie when confronted with those mistakes.
You can't trust them not to believe their own propaganda.
You can't trust them. Period."
***If you enjoy PBD and support what we are doing, you can help by forwarding a copy of this issue to your friends (using the envelope link below) or by sending them a copy of its URL (http://pbd.blogspot.com).
I don't get anything personally out of this project, except the satisfaction of doing it (I don't run ads, etc). The credit really all goes to the people whose material I copy and redistribute. But if I do have a "mission," it is to get this information into the hands of as many people as I can.***